Champion win and lose times

Patch 4.21

Hello, friends.

After Last week's quick look at early- and late-game champions I was a bit disappointed by the size of the dataset. So, this week I got a lot more data. A LOT more data. Around fifty-thousand ranked solo-queue matches played by diamond, master, and challenger league players, all on patches 4.21 and 4.20.

I'm still interested in teasing out the difference between early- and late-game champions. To that end, I collected some basic statistics here about how long games are that are won and lost by each champion.

This first table gives the mean (average) win time for each champion. That is, the average length of a game where a team with that champion wins.

Looking at this data, I realized this measure is probably too rough to draw any conclusions from. The spread isn't wide enough to say really anything about champion strength at different points in the game, but it may be interesting to look at anyway.

(The standard deviation and sample size is also reported)

ChampionWin timeDeviationGames
Akali
31:117:412906
Jinx
31:497:456086
Pantheon
31:557:547666
Rek'Sai
31:598:182190
Katarina
32:048:035245
Tryndamere
32:057:451918
Jarvan IV
32:108:018817
Nidalee
32:127:523955
Lulu
32:147:512168
Kassadin
32:158:012736
Riven
32:157:528758
Draven
32:157:373739
Elise
32:208:171535
Sona
32:207:414605
Nunu
32:207:322902
Jayce
32:217:496476
Janna
32:227:5513873
Irelia
32:247:517856
Corki
32:268:1212264
Blitzcrank
32:277:579765
Sivir
32:277:491679
Soraka
32:288:015041
Vi
32:297:515641
Renekton
32:307:501456
Warwick
32:317:542906
Aatrox
32:347:41947
Talon
32:358:022201
Hecarim
32:357:432175
Rumble
32:358:123831
Annie
32:357:573795
Kayle
32:367:452726
Lee Sin
32:388:0612653
Twisted Fate
32:397:263373
Yasuo
32:397:173287
Fiddlesticks
32:398:005253
Galio
32:397:40676
Graves
32:408:0210135
Diana
32:417:571746
Maokai
32:417:523374
Ashe
32:417:431373
Yorick
32:418:20497
Taric
32:417:39655
Olaf
32:427:38697
Leona
32:427:555716
Fiora
32:427:542136
Thresh
32:437:5516040
Darius
32:437:531063
Kalista
32:438:062976
Malphite
32:438:053110
Trundle
32:467:31584
Lucian
32:467:6017332
Syndra
32:468:144957
Nautilus
32:477:45871
Kha'Zix
32:478:013490
Xin Zhao
32:477:593981
Lissandra
32:487:595425
Swain
32:497:501413
Anivia
32:498:101433
Nami
32:498:045526
Quinn
32:507:36644
Orianna
32:517:485733
LeBlanc
32:518:164983
Wukong
32:518:042995
Caitlyn
32:517:597611
Rengar
32:527:583647
Skarner
32:527:47963
Vladimir
32:528:073308
Nasus
32:538:033201
Tristana
32:547:591893
Evelynn
32:547:20504
Morgana
32:547:587379
Master Yi
32:557:474303
Ahri
32:558:025785
Fizz
32:558:025078
Azir
32:578:013780
Vayne
32:577:518583
Udyr
32:577:493128
Jax
32:588:022622
Gnar
32:588:094741
Miss Fortune
32:598:07688
Sion
32:608:112757
Mordekaiser
33:017:34426
Shaco
33:038:203624
Zed
33:058:138844
Varus
33:077:59713
Cho'Gath
33:077:572214
Dr. Mundo
33:078:121038
Xerath
33:108:144591
Gragas
33:118:20814
Malzahar
33:118:111405
Karma
33:138:191767
Amumu
33:157:602345
Ezreal
33:158:0312531
Urgot
33:168:35178
Singed
33:168:141357
Braum
33:167:553664
Shen
33:178:221045
Gangplank
33:197:481972
Viktor
33:217:501144
Vel'Koz
33:238:132544
Ryze
33:247:45971
Alistar
33:247:412234
Garen
33:297:57859
Veigar
33:318:121597
Rammus
33:348:131018
Nocturne
33:377:532429
Heimerdinger
33:398:221028
Zac
33:398:231141
Lux
33:428:202737
Zilean
33:458:001067
Sejuani
33:478:311226
Brand
33:488:291918
Zyra
33:488:341853
Cassiopeia
33:498:11931
Kog'Maw
33:538:07953
Poppy
33:558:191054
Volibear
33:567:46691
Shyvana
33:578:041405
Ziggs
34:048:301399
Karthus
34:107:551272
Kennen
34:178:07972
Twitch
34:297:531388
Teemo
34:348:361785

Here is one thing we can say: Urgot, Eve, and Trundle are not popular with high-ranking players.

So, Akali wins on average a full three and a half minutes faster than Teemo and Twitch. But with deviations of double that difference, I wouldn't wager any money on these results. Ha!

Also, and this should be our first clue, any measure that puts Nasus in the middle is not likely a good measure of early- vs. late-game power.


Here's a similar table for losing times. That is, the average game time of a game with each champion on the losing team.

ChampionLose timeDeviationGames
Urgot
31:048:35178
Kalista
31:168:062976
Yasuo
31:217:173287
Evelynn
31:297:20504
Draven
31:447:373739
Olaf
31:507:38697
Taric
31:517:39655
Trundle
31:547:31584
Udyr
31:557:493128
Kassadin
31:588:012736
Ryze
31:587:45971
Akali
32:027:412906
Jax
32:048:022622
Aatrox
32:047:41947
Twitch
32:067:531388
Master Yi
32:067:474303
Rammus
32:068:131018
Alistar
32:077:412234
Orianna
32:097:485733
Warwick
32:107:542906
Kayle
32:107:452726
Quinn
32:117:36644
Gragas
32:128:20814
Garen
32:147:57859
Vayne
32:157:518583
Ashe
32:157:431373
Tryndamere
32:167:451918
Braum
32:177:553664
Rengar
32:177:583647
Irelia
32:177:517856
Mordekaiser
32:187:34426
Zed
32:188:138844
Zac
32:188:231141
Soraka
32:208:015041
Shen
32:218:221045
Vladimir
32:218:073308
Tristana
32:227:591893
Nunu
32:227:322902
Galio
32:237:40676
Dr. Mundo
32:248:121038
Nami
32:258:045526
Elise
32:268:171535
Fizz
32:278:025078
Gangplank
32:277:481972
Twisted Fate
32:277:263373
Sivir
32:277:491679
Vi
32:287:515641
Riven
32:287:528758
Leona
32:297:555716
Kha'Zix
32:308:013490
Lulu
32:317:512168
Jayce
32:317:496476
Maokai
32:327:523374
Xin Zhao
32:337:593981
Talon
32:338:022201
Shyvana
32:338:041405
Varus
32:347:59713
Poppy
32:348:191054
Zilean
32:348:001067
Gnar
32:368:094741
Caitlyn
32:387:597611
Thresh
32:397:5516040
Lucian
32:397:6017332
Nasus
32:398:033201
Fiora
32:407:542136
Swain
32:417:501413
Nautilus
32:427:45871
Cassiopeia
32:438:11931
Wukong
32:448:042995
Graves
32:448:0210135
Janna
32:457:5513873
Hecarim
32:457:432175
Miss Fortune
32:468:07688
Nidalee
32:467:523955
Amumu
32:467:602345
Sejuani
32:468:311226
Yorick
32:478:20497
Skarner
32:477:47963
Jinx
32:477:456086
Kennen
32:478:07972
Diana
32:497:571746
Sona
32:497:414605
Annie
32:517:573795
Jarvan IV
32:548:018817
Ahri
32:558:025785
Karma
32:558:191767
Darius
32:567:531063
Azir
32:578:013780
Lee Sin
32:578:0612653
Nocturne
32:587:532429
Shaco
33:038:203624
Blitzcrank
33:047:579765
Pantheon
33:067:547666
Katarina
33:068:035245
Rumble
33:078:123831
Malzahar
33:078:111405
Viktor
33:117:501144
Morgana
33:127:587379
Fiddlesticks
33:128:005253
Lissandra
33:127:595425
Lux
33:148:202737
Volibear
33:147:46691
Singed
33:148:141357
Renekton
33:177:501456
Corki
33:178:1212264
Teemo
33:198:361785
LeBlanc
33:198:164983
Syndra
33:208:144957
Karthus
33:267:551272
Heimerdinger
33:288:221028
Sion
33:288:112757
Kog'Maw
33:308:07953
Veigar
33:318:121597
Ezreal
33:328:0312531
Anivia
33:388:101433
Malphite
33:398:053110
Ziggs
33:448:301399
Cho'Gath
33:487:572214
Zyra
33:518:341853
Xerath
34:008:144591
Rek'Sai
34:048:182190
Vel'Koz
34:048:132544
Brand
34:068:291918

Rek'Sai is the biggest mover here, winning games quickly and losing them slowly.

Akali, who was first on the list above, is near the top here as well. Perhaps she contributes to shorter games.

Again, Nasus is about dead center. I think we're going to need a better measure to really sort this out.


Before we go back to the drawing board, here are a few of our favorite stats, re-run over this new and improved dataset:

Blue side win percentage: 50.61%

Wow! I have never seen a number that close to 50% for blue side win rate. Again, this is over fifty thousand ranked solo-queue games at diamond and better elo (mmr) on patches 4.21 and 4.20. I'm looking forward to keeping an eye on this going forward now.

First blood win percentage: 59.77%

This is still high. Go get that first-blood.


Ok. Still searching for the right metric to measure early- vs. late-game strength of champions, but I'm happy with the new official LeagueMath.com data acquisition methods.

That will be plenty of #LeagueMath for today. Hit me up and let me know how you would measure champion power curves.

Legend of the poro king? I don't know. Stay tuned for more league fun and math fun here at LeagueMath.com.


No standard deviations were harmed in the preparation of this analysis.

Peace.